Assimilation of GOES-16 ABI All-Sky Radiance Observations in RRFS Using EnVar: Methodology, System Development, and Impacts for a Severe Convective Event

MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW(2023)

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摘要
The Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) aboard the GOES-16 and GOES-17 satellites provides high-resolution observations of cloud structures that could be highly beneficial for convective-scale DA. However, only clear-air radiance ob-servations are typically assimilated at operational centers due to a variety of problems associated with cloudy radiance data. As such, many questions remain about how to best assimilate all-sky radiance data, especially when using hybrid DA systems such as EnVar wherein a nonlinear observation operator can lead to cost function gradient imbalance and slow minimization. Here, we develop new methods for assimilating all-sky radiance observations in EnVar using the novel Rapid Refresh Fore-casting System (RRFS) that utilizes the Finite-Volume Cubed-Sphere (FV3) model. We first modify the EnVar solver by di-rectly including brightness temperature (Tb) as a state variable. This modification improves the balance of the cost function gradient and speeds up minimization. Including Tb as a state variable also improves the model fit to observations and increases forecast skill compared to utilizing a standard state vector configuration. We also evaluate the impact of assimilating ABI all -sky radiances in RRFS for a severe convective event in the central Great Plains. Assimilating the radiance observations results in better spinup of a tornadic supercell. These data also aid in suppressing spurious convection by reducing the snow hydrome-teor content near the tropopause and weakening spurious anvil clouds. The all-sky radiance observations pair well with reflec-tivity observations that remove primarily liquid hydrometeors (i.e., rain) closer to the surface. Additionally, the benefits of the ABI observations continue into the forecast for localized convective events.
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关键词
Deep convection,Satellite observations,Data assimilation,Numerical weather prediction/forecasting
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