Baseline and Postinduction Intestinal Ultrasound Findings Predict Long-term Transmural and Mucosal Healing in Patients With Crohn's Disease

Background: Intestinal ultrasound (IUS) is becoming a standard assessment tool in Crohn's disease (CD), but limited data exist on its ability to predict long-term objective outcomes. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the predictive value of IUS findings for long-term transmural healing (TH) and mucosal healing (MH) in CD.Methods: We prospectively included consecutive CD patients with active endoscopic disease and bowel wall thickness (BWT) >3.0 mm, initiating infliximab. Intestinal ultrasound parameters (ie, BWT, inflammatory mesenteric fat [i-fat], bowel blood flow and stratification) and International Bowel Ultrasound Segmental Activity Score (IBUS-SAS) were collected at baseline, after 14 to 26 weeks (visit 1, postinduction) and 44 to 56 weeks (visit 2). Transmural healing (normalization of all IUS parameters) and MH (SES-CD <= 2) were assessed at visit 2.Results: One hundred twenty-nine patients were evaluated. At visit 2, 38.0% and 48.1% of patients achieved TH and MH, respectively. All the IUS parameters and IBUS-SAS showed improvement at visit 1 and visit 2 compared with the baseline (all P < .001). Multivariable analysis found that presence of i-fat at baseline (odds ratio [OR], 0.57; P = .008) and greater postinduction BWT (OR, 0.24; P < .001) were negative predictors for TH, while higher baseline (OR, 0.98; P = .013) and postinduction (OR, 0.94; P < .001) IBUS-SAS predicted negatively for MH. Postinduction BWT <4.5mm best predicted TH (AUC 0.85; P < .001), while postinduction IBUS-SAS <25.0 best predicted MH (AUC 0.82; P < .001). Moreover, colonic disease was associated with higher risk of TH (OR, 2.55; P = .027), and disease duration >24 months with lower risk of MH (OR, 0.27; P = .006).Conclusions: Baseline and postinduction IUS findings reliably predict long-term TH and MH in patients with CD receiving infliximab.