Association between Acute Pain Scores in Children with Sickle Cell Disease and Emergency Department Disposition and Return Visit Rates

Introduction Reducing pain through prompt administration of pain medication in the emergency department (ED) is a primary driver of national guidelines for sickle cell disease (SCD), yet there are few data on how pain scores and changes in pain scores are associated with both the disposition at the initial visit and the likelihood of a return visit. In this study, we analyzed acute pain scores from ED visits for children with uncomplicated SCD pain crisis to determine the relationships between pain scores and disposition (admission or discharge) or occurrence of a return ED visit. Objectives For children with uncomplicated SCD pain crises, we aimed to determine (1) the association between initial pain score, last pain score, change in pain scores and the disposition of index ED visits, and (2) the association between these pain score values, number of parenteral opioid doses in the ED, whether an opioid prescription was provided at discharge, and an ED return visit within 14 days. Methods This is a multicenter retrospective cohort study of acute pain scores of ED visits by children for uncomplicated SCD pain crises. It was conducted using electronic health care data from the Pediatric Emergency Care Applied Research Network (PECARN) Registry across 7 sites (Lurie Children's, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Cincinnati Children's Hospital, Children's National Medical Center, Children's Colorado, Children's Wisconsin, and Nationwide Children's). Index ED visits were defined as uncomplicated pain crises with no preceding ED visits within 14 days between 01/2017 - 11/2021. We collected the following ED pain scores: initial, last, and change in scores (initial minus last) as measured by a numeric rating scale (0-10). For analyses related to disposition, we modeled the relationship between the three pain scores and hospital disposition adjusting for age, sex and uncomplicated pain crisis visit admission rate. For analyses related to return visits, we utilized the same predictor variables and added both the number of parenteral opioid doses administered in the ED and whether or not a prescription for an opioid was given at discharge. For all analyses, adjustment for site was made using generalized estimating equations with an exchangeable correlation structure to account for clustering within site. Modified Poisson regression was used to identify associations. SAS software version 9.4 was used for all statistical analyses. Results A total of 4,985 index visits for uncomplicated SCD pain crisis were included; 52% resulted in hospitalization. Overall, 39% of the children were <12 years old, 54% were female, and 96% were Black. Eligible index ED visits per site varied from 157 to 1855. The overall ED median (IQR) initial pain score was 8.0 (6.0-10).The median last pain score was 5.0 (2.0-8.0); median change in ED pain score was 2.0 (0.0-5.0). In univariate analyses, higher initial and last pain scores and a smaller change in pain scores were all associated with higher hospitalization rates. Adjusted rate ratios (95% CI) from multivariable models showed last pain score was the best predictor of admission 1.16 (1.12, 1.19), with change in pain score no longer significant 0.98 (0.96, 1.00). Examining percent of children hospitalized by last pain score shows over 80% of children with a last pain score of 7 or higher were hospitalized, compared to less than 40% if 4 or lower (Figure 1). 29% of the 2,377 visits that were originally discharged to home had a return visit within 14 days. None of the included pain scores from the initial visit (initial, last, or change) were associated with having a return visit within 14 days. However, both an increased number of ED opioid doses and failure to receive a prescription for an opioid at discharge were associated with increased return visits. Figure 2 shows the ED opioid doses and prescription for opioid combination and their respective return visit rates, with a high of 36% for ≥ 3 doses of ED opioid doses and no prescription and a low of 22% if 1 opioid given and a prescription at discharge. Conclusions: We found that for a child with SCD presenting to the ED with an uncomplicated pain crisis, the last ED pain score was a better predictor of hospitalization than initial or change in pain score. None of those pain scores predicted a return visit after discharge; however, fewer opioid doses in the ED and receipt of an opioid prescription at discharge were associated with fewer return visits.