Association Between Diseases and Symptoms Diagnosed in Primary Care and the Subsequent Specific Risk of Multiple Sclerosis

Background and ObjectivesPrevious studies have reported a possible prodrome in multiple sclerosis (MS) defined by nonspecific symptoms including mood disorder or genitourinary symptoms and increased health care use detected several years before diagnosis. This study aimed to evaluate agnostically the associations between diseases and symptoms diagnosed in primary care and the risk of MS relative to controls and 2 other autoimmune inflammatory diseases with similar population characteristics, namely lupus and Crohn disease (CD).MethodsA case-control study was conducted using electronic health records from the Health Improvement Network database in the United Kingdom and France. We agnostically assessed the associations between 113 diseases and symptoms in the 5 years before and after diagnosis in patients with subsequent diagnosis of MS. Individuals with a diagnosis of MS were compared with individuals without MS and individuals with 2 other autoimmune diseases, CD and lupus.ResultsThe study population consisted of patients with MS (n = 20,174), patients without MS (n = 54,790), patients with CD (n = 30,477), and patients with lupus (n = 7,337). Twelve ICD-10 codes were significantly positively associated with the risk of MS compared with controls without MS. After considering ICD-10 codes suggestive of neurologic symptoms as the first diagnosis of MS, 5 ICD-10 codes remained significantly associated with MS: depression (UK: odds ratio 1.22, 95% CI 1.11-1.34), sexual dysfunction (1.47, 1.11-1.95), constipation (1.5, 1.27-1.78), cystitis (1.21, 1.05-1.39), and urinary tract infections of unspecified site (1.38, 1.18-1.61). However, none of these conditions was selectively associated with MS in comparisons with both lupus and CD. All 5 ICD-10 codes identified were still associated with MS during the 5 years after diagnosis.DiscussionWe identified 5 health conditions associated with subsequent MS diagnosis, which may be considered not only prodromal but also early-stage symptoms. However, these health conditions overlap with prodrome of 2 other autoimmune diseases; hence, they lack specificity to MS.