Potassium homeostasis and therapeutic intervention with sodium zirconium cyclosilicate: A model-informed drug development case study

Potassium (K+) is the main intracellular cation in the body. Elevated K+ levels (hyperkalemia) increase the risk of life-threatening arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death. However, the details of K+ homeostasis and the effects of orally administered K+ binders, such as sodium zirconium cyclosilicate (SZC), on K+ redistribution and excretion in patients remain incompletely understood. We built a fit-for-purpose systems pharmacology model to describe K+ homeostasis in hyperkalemic subjects and capture serum K+ (sK(+)) dynamics in response to acute and chronic administration of SZC. The resulting model describes K+ distribution in the gastrointestinal (GI) tract, blood, and extracellular and intracellular spaces of tissue, renal clearance of K+, and K+-SZC binding and excretion in the GI tract. The model, which was fit to time-course sK(+) data for individual patients from two clinical trials, accounts for bolus delivery of K+ in meals and oral doses of SZC. The virtual population of patients derived from fitting the model to these trials was then modified to predict the SZC dose-response and inform clinical trial design in two new applications: emergency lowering of sK(+) in severe hyperkalemia and prevention of hyperkalemia between dialysis sessions in patients with end-stage chronic kidney disease. In both cases, the model provided novel and useful insight that was borne out by the now completed clinical trials, providing a concrete case study of fit-for-purpose, model-informed drug development after initial approval of a drug.