Whole tumor based texture analysis of magnetic resonance diffusion imaging for colorectal liver metastases: A prospective study for diffusion model comparison and early response biomarker

Purpose: To evaluate and compare the diagnostic value of diffusion-related texture analysis parameters obtained from various magnetic resonance diffusion models as early predictors of the clinical response to chemotherapy in patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).Methods: Patients (n = 145) with CRLM were prospectively and consecutively enrolled and scanned using diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI)-magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)/intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM)/ diffusion kurtosis imaging (DKI) before (baseline) and two-three weeks after (follow-up) commencing chemotherapy. Therapy response was evaluated based on the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST, version 1.1). The histogram and texture parameters of each diffusion-related parametric map were analysed between the responding and non-responding groups, screened using LASSO, and fitted with binary logistic regression models. The diagnostic efficacy of each model in the early prediction of CRLM was analysed, and the corresponding receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn. The area under the curve (AUC) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated.Results: Of the 145 analysed patients, 69 were in the responding group and 76 were in the non-responding group. Among all models, the difference value based on the histogram and texture features of the DKI-derived parameters performed best for the early prediction of CRLM treatment efficacy. The AUC of the DKI model in the validation set reached 0.795 (95% CI 0.652-0.938). Among the IVIM-derived parameters, the difference model based on D and D* performed best, and the AUC in the validation set reached 0.737 (95% CI 0.586-0.889). Finally, in the DWI sequence, the model comprising baseline features performed the best, with an AUC of 0.699 (95% CI 0.537-0.86) in the validation set.Conclusions: Baseline DWI parameters and follow-up changes in IVIM and DKI parameters predicted the chemotherapeutic response in patients with CRLM. In addition, as very early predictors, DKI-derived parameters were more effective than DWI- and IVIM-related parameters, in which changes in D-parameters performed best.