Effects of climate change and variability on large pelagic fish in the Northwest Atlantic Ocean: implications for improving climate resilient management for pelagic longline fisheries

Climate change influences marine environmental conditions and is projected to increase future environmental variability. In the North Atlantic, such changes will affect the behavior and spatiotemporal distributions of large pelagic fish species (i.e., tunas, billfishes, and sharks). Generally, studies on these species have focused on specific climate-induced changes in abiotic factors separately (e.g., water temperature) and on the projection of shifts in species abundance and distribution based on these changes. In this review, we consider the latest research on spatiotemporal effects of climate-induced environmental changes to HMS' life history, ecology, physiology, distribution, and habitat selection, and describe how the complex interplay between climate-induced changes in biotic and abiotic factors, including fishing, drives changes in species productivity and distribution in the Northwest Atlantic. This information is used to provide a baseline for investigating implications for management of pelagic longline fisheries and to identify knowledge gaps in this region. Warmer, less oxygenated waters may result in higher post-release mortality in bycatch species. Changes in climate variability will likely continue to alter the dynamics of oceanographic processes regulating species behavior and distribution, as well as fishery dynamics, creating challenges for fishery management. Stock assessments need to account for climate-induced changes in species abundance through the integration of species-specific responses to climate variability. Climate-induced changes will likely result in misalignment between current spatial and temporal management measures and the spatiotemporal distribution of these species. Finally, changes in species interactions with fisheries will require focused research to develop best practices for adaptive fisheries management and species recovery.