Multi-messenger prospects for black hole - neutron star mergers in the O4 and O5 runs
Astronomy & Astrophysics(2023)
摘要
The existence of merging black hole-neutron star (BHNS) binaries has been
ascertained through the observation of their gravitational wave (GW) signals.
However, to date, no definitive electromagnetic (EM) emission has been
confidently associated with these mergers. Such an association could help
unravel crucial information on these systems, for example, their BH spin
distribution, the equation of state (EoS) of NS and the rate of heavy element
production. We model the multi-messenger (MM) emission from BHNS mergers
detectable during the fourth (O4) and fifth (O5) observing runs of the
LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA GW detector network, in order to provide detailed predictions
that can help enhance the effectiveness of observational efforts and extract
the highest possible scientific information from such remarkable events. Our
methodology is based on a population synthesis-approach, which includes the
modelling of the signal-to-noise ratio of the GW signal in the detectors, the
GW-inferred sky localization of the source, the kilonova (KN) optical and
near-infrared light curves, the relativistic jet gamma-ray burst (GRB) prompt
emission peak photon flux, and the GRB afterglow light curves in the radio,
optical and X-ray bands. The resulting prospects for BHNS MM detections during
O4 are not promising, with a GW detection rate of 15.0^+15.4_-8.8
yr^-1, but joint MM rates of ∼ 10^-1 yr^-1 for the KN and ∼
10^-2 yr^-1 for the jet-related emission. In O5 we find an overall
increase in expected detection rates by around an order of magnitude, owing to
both the enhanced sensitivity of the GW detector network, and the coming online
of future EM facilities. Finally, we discuss direct searches for the GRB radio
afterglow with large-field-of-view instruments as a new possible follow-up
strategy in the context of ever-dimming prospects for KN detection.
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