Cost of breast cancer screening in the USA: Comparison of current practice, advocated guidelines, and a personalized risk-based approach

e18917 Background: Several clinical trials are comparing the safety and efficacy of risk-based and age-based breast cancer screening. This study aimed to estimate the aggregate yearly cost of screening in the USA for 2019 to 2021 and to project cost of four strategies: annual, biennial, hybrid, and the WISDOM (Women Informed to Screen Depending on Measures of risk) clinical trial’s risk-based strategy. An assessment of screening costs under different strategies can inform policy decisions. Methods: Total cost was estimated for each strategy by summing screening and recall cost for eligible women from a national payer perspective. Data from the FDA Mammography Quality Standards Act and Program was used to estimate the number of screening mammograms in 2019 to 2021. Data from the Optum Labs Data Warehouse (OLDW) was used to estimate utilization of 2D and 3D mammograms, MRI and mammogram costs, recall costs and rates. OLDW contains longitudinal de-identified administrative, medical, and pharmacy claims for over 200 million commercial and Medicare Advantage (MA) enrollees and patients. Study subjects were continuously enrolled for approximately three years to capture all encounters. Medicare Advantage claims were used to approximate public payer costs and rates. We assumed 100% adherence to all strategies. The risk-based strategy used a cost of $270 for genetic testing and risk assessment. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was used to estimate uncertainty in the estimated aggregate cost. One-way deterministic sensitivity analysis was used to determine the impact of each input on the aggregate cost. Results: Median mammogram costs ranged from $139-$360, MRI costs ranged from $545-$2,439, while recall rates ranged from 9.2%-20.9%. The annual cost of screening 50% of eligible women in 2019 was $11.5B ($10.37-13.94B) and cost $77,824 per breast cancer detected. The estimated yearly aggregate cost of screening 100% of eligible women was: $26.71B ($24.61-32.82B) for annual; $18.09B ($16.03-21.16B) for hybrid; $7.57B ($6.97-9.29B) for biennial; and $9.60B ($8.88-11.70B) for risk-based strategies. The estimated average cost per woman screened until 74 years was: $22,315 for annual; $16,552 for hybrid; $4,133 for biennial; and $6,878 for risk-based. The yearly aggregate cost of screening was most sensitive to variations in commercial 3D mammography cost. Conclusions: Biennial and risk-based screening can reduce cost substantially. Risk-based screening reduced cost even with the cost of population genetic testing included while maintaining intensive screening for the highest-risk women. The resources saved can be used to improve screening for women at high-risk of fast-growing disease who are often identified between screens and for improving overall adherence.