Deep learning-based model detects atrial septal defects from electrocardiography: a cross-sectional multicenter hospital-based study

Background Atrial septal defect (ASD) increases the risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Despite the potential for risk mitigation through minimally invasive percutaneous closure, ASD remains underdiagnosed due to subtle symptoms and examination findings. To bridge this diagnostic gap, we propose a novel screening strategy aimed at early detection and enhanced diagnosis through the implementation of a convolutional neural network (CNN) to identify ASD from 12-lead electrocardiography (ECG). Methods ECGs were collected from patients with at least one recorded echocardiogram at 3 hospitals from 2 con-tinents (Keio University Hospital from July 2011 to December 2020, Brigham and Women's Hospital from January 2015 to December 2020, and Dokkyo Medical University Saitama Medical Center from January 2010 and December 2021). ECGs from patients with a diagnosis of ASD were labeled as positive cases while the remainder were labeled as negative. ECGs after the closure of ASD were excluded. After randomly splitting the ECGs into 3 datasets (50% derivation, 20% validation, and 30% test) with no patient overlap, a CNN-based model was trained using the derivation datasets from 2 hospitals and was tested on held-out datasets along with an external validation on the 3rd hospital. All eligible ECGs were used for derivation and validation whereas the earliest ECG for each patient was used for the test and external validation. The discrimination of ASD was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Multiple subgroups were examined to identify any heterogeneity. Findings A total of 671,201 ECGs from 80,947 patients were collected from the 3 institutions. The AUROC for detecting ASD was 0.85-0.90 across the 3 hospitals. The subgroup analysis showed excellent performance across various characteristics Screening simulation using the model greatly increased sensitivity from 80.6% to 93.7% at specificity 33.6% when compared to using overt ECG abnormalities. Interpretation A CNN-based model using 12-lead ECG successfully identified the presence of ASD with excellent generalizability across institutions from 2 separate continents.