Predictive value of diffusion MRI-based parametric response mapping for prognosis and treatment response in glioblastoma

Background: Early detection of treatment response is important for the management of patients with malignant brain tumors such as glioblastoma to assure good quality of life in relation to therapeutic efficacy.Aim: To investigate whether parametric response mapping (PRM) with diffusion MRI may provide prognostic information at an early stage of standard therapy for glioblastoma.Materials and methods: This prospective study included 31 patients newly diagnosed with glioblastoma WHO grade IV, planned for primary standard postoperative treatment with radiotherapy 60Gy/30 fractions with concomitant and adjuvant Temozolomide. MRI follow-up including diffusion and perfusion weighting was performed at 3 T at start of postoperative chemoradiotherapy, three weeks into treatment, and then regularly until twelve months postoperatively. Regional mean diffusivity (MD) changes were analyzed voxel-wise using the PRM method (MD-PRM). At eight and twelve months postoperatively, after completion of standard treatment, patients were classified using conventional MRI and clinical evaluation as either having stable disease (SD, including partial response) or progressive disease (PD). It was assessed whether MD-PRM differed between patients having SD versus PD and whether it predicted the risk of disease progression (progression-free survival, PFS) or death (overall survival, OS). A subgroup analysis was performed that compared MD-PRM between SD and PD in patients only undergoing diagnostic biopsy. MGMT-promotor methylation status (O6-methylguanineDNA methyltransferase) was registered and analyzed with respect to PFS, OS and MD-PRM.Results: Of the 31 patients analyzed: 21 were operated by resection and ten by diagnostic biopsy. At eight months, 19 patients had SD and twelve had PD. At twelve months, ten patients had SD and 20 had PD, out of which ten were deceased within twelve months and one was deceased without known tumor progression. Median PFS was nine months, and median OS was 17 months. Eleven patients had methylated MGMT-promotor, 16 were MGMT unmethylated, and four had unknown MGMT-status. MD-PRM did not significantly predict patients having SD versus PD neither at eight nor at twelve months. Patients with an above median MD-PRM reduction had a slightly longer PFS (P = 0.015) in Kaplan-Maier analysis, as well as a non-significantly longer OS (P = 0.099). In the subgroup of patients only undergoing biopsy, total MD-PRM change at three weeks was generally higher for patients with SD than for patients with PD at eight months, although no tests were performed. MGMT status strongly predicted both PFS and OS but not MD-PRM change.