Reconstructed Global Invasion and Spatio-Temporal Distribution Pattern Dynamics of Sorghum halepense under Climate and Land-Use Change.

Plants (Basel, Switzerland)(2023)

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摘要
competes with crops and grass species in cropland, grassland, and urban environments, increasing invasion risk. However, the invasive historical dynamics and distribution patterns of associated with current and future climate change and land-use change (LUC) remain unknown. We first analyzed the invasive historical dynamics of to explore its invasion status and expansion trends. We then used a species distribution model to examine how future climate change and LUC will facilitate the invasion of . We reconstructed the countries that have historically been invaded by based on databases with detailed records of countries and occurrences. We ran biomod2 based on climate data and land-use data at 5' resolution, assessing the significance of environmental variables and LUC. was widely distributed worldwide through grain trade and forage introduction, except in Africa. Europe and North America provided most potential global suitable habitats (PGSHs) for in cropland, grassland, and urban environments, representing 48.69%, 20.79%, and 84.82%, respectively. The future PGSHs of increased continuously in the Northern Hemisphere, transferring to higher latitudes. Environmental variables were more significant than LUC in predicting the PGSHs of . Future PGSHs of are expected to increase, exacerbating the invasion risk through agricultural LUC. These results provide a basis for the early warning and prevention of worldwide.
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关键词
climate change, Sorghum halepense, land-use change, potential global suitable habitats, invasive alien plants
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