The interactions between fishing mortality, age, condition and recruitment in exploited fish populations in the North Sea

A quantity of studies have documented how greater condition and older age of individual fish enhances reproductive success via a variety of processes from egg production to larval survival. If these relations translate into relationships between stock demography and recruitment, maintaining a “healthy” age composition may be a key step towards ensuring stock productivity. We examined the correlation between indicators of the age and size composition and the residual-variation from the stock-recruitment relationship (i.e. the variation not explained by the spawning stock biomass) in eleven commercially exploited fish stocks in the North Sea. We also analyzed to what extent spawner age and size composition responded to variations in fishing mortality. Before detrending to accommodate any temporal patterns, recruitment residuals correlated negatively with the relative age composition in all eleven stocks (plaice, whiting, and saithe being significant). However, after detrending the recruitment residuals, the correlations weakened and only nine out of eleven stocks correlated negatively. Lastly, we also conducted a delay difference analysis, which yielded a more or less even distribution between negative and positive correlations, and in addition two stocks (cod and Norway pout) came out showing significant positive correlations between recruitment residuals and age composition. In contrast, eight of the eleven stocks showed positive correlations between spawner weight and recruitment residuals and correlations were significant for plaice, cod, and saithe. After detrending the data, the significant correlations disappeared, but the overall tendency towards positive correlations between spawner weight and recruitment residuals prevailed. Overall, these results suggest that fish condition is more likely to show positive relationships with recruitment success than age composition. Lastly, it was found that the majority of stocks showed a strong link between fishing mortality and the two indicators of age composition, and when looking across stocks, the age composition appears to have returned to the same level as in the 1960 s. Conversely, spawner weight at age have not recovered, and considering the indications of a positive link between spawner weight and recruitment, recruitment success of the North Sea stocks may remain low in spite of the apparently successful rebuilding of the age composition.