Age-Based Versus Young-Adult Thresholds for Nephrosclerosis on Kidney Biopsy and Prognostic Implications for CKD

Background Nephrosclerosis, defined by globally sclerotic glomeruli (GSG) and interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA), is a pathology of both kidney aging and CKD. A comparison of risk of progressive CKD using aged-based thresholds for nephrosclerosis versus a single young-adult threshold is needed. Methods We conducted morphometric analyses of kidney biopsy images for %GSG, %IFTA, and IFTA foci density among 3020 living kidney donors, 1363 patients with kidney tumor, and 314 patients with native kidney disease. Using normotensive donors, we defined young-age thresholds (18-29 years) and age-based (roughly by decade) 95th percentile thresholds. We compared age-adjusted risk of progressive CKD (kidney failure or 40% decline in eGFR) between nephrosclerosis that was "normal compared with young," "normal for age but abnormal compared with young," and "abnormal for age" in patientswith tumor and patients with kidney disease. Results The 95th percentiles in the youngest group (18-29 years) to the oldest group (70 years or older) ranged from 1.7% to 16% for%GSG, 0.18% to 6.5% for %IFTA, and 8.2 to 59.3 per cm(2) for IFTA foci density. Risk of progressive CKDdid not differ between personswith nephrosclerosis "normal compared with young" versus "normal for age but abnormal compared with young." Risk of progressive CKD was significantly higher with %GSG, %IFTA, or IFTA foci density that was abnormal versus normal for age in both cohorts. Conclusions Given that increased risk of progressive CKD occurs only when nephrosclerosis is abnormal for age, age-based thresholds for nephrosclerosis seem to be better than a single young-age threshold for identifying clinically relevant CKD.