Projected impact of guidelines on incidence of venous thromboembolism after cesarean delivery in the United States.

BACKGROUND:There is large variation in recommended for postcesarean delivery venous thromboembolism (VTE) prophylaxis among commonly used guidelines. OBJECTIVES:The aim of the study is to estimate implications of adoption of VTE prevention guidelines for rates of receipt of VTE prophylactic therapy and VTE following cesarean delivery (CD). METHODS:We used administrative data from the 2015-2019 Nationalwide Readmissions Database to identify cesarean deliveries and rates of VTE stratified by risk factors, leading to different prophylactic strategies based on several national guidelines. We used input parameters from the literature to construct a hybrid decision tree/Markov model to project the implications of guideline adoption on VTE rates for the first 6 weeks following delivery. RESULTS:Adoption of either the 2011 American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists or the 2018 American Society for Hematology guidelines would avert a relatively small proportion (5%) of VTE cases, albeit with little low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) use (87-115 doses per 1000 CD patients). The 2012 American College of Chest Physicians guidelines were predicted to be more effective at averting VTE (21.2% reduction) with more LMWH usage (570 doses per 1000 deliveries). The 2015 Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists guidelines and universal use of 6 weeks of LMWH would avert an even larger proportion of cases (37.4% and 57.6%, respectively), at the cost of much higher rates of LMWH utilization (7233 doses per 1000 patients and 38 648 doses per 1000 patients). CONCLUSIONS:Adoption of different guidelines would have notably varying implications for clinical practice and potential for alteration of the national rate of VTE following CD.