The collateral map: prediction of lesion growth and penumbra after acute anterior circulation ischemic stroke

Objectives This study evaluated the collateral map’s ability to predict lesion growth and penumbra after acute anterior circulation ischemic strokes. Methods This was a retrospective analysis of selected data from a prospectively collected database. The lesion growth ratio was the ratio of the follow-up lesion volume to the baseline lesion volume on diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI). The time-to-maximum (Tmax)/DWI ratio was the ratio of the baseline Tmax > 6 s volume to the baseline lesion volume. The collateral ratio was the ratio of the hypoperfused lesion volume of the phase_FU (phase with the hypoperfused lesions most approximate to the follow-up DWI lesion) to the hypoperfused lesion volume of the phase_baseline of the collateral map. Multiple logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify independent predictors of lesion growth. The concordance correlation coefficients of Tmax/DWI ratio and collateral ratio for lesion growth ratio were analyzed. Results Fifty-two patients, including twenty-six males (mean age, 74 years), were included. Intermediate (OR, 1234.5; p < 0.001) and poor collateral perfusion grades (OR, 664.7; p = 0.006) were independently associated with lesion growth. Phase_FUs were immediately preceded phases of the phase_baselines in intermediate or poor collateral perfusion grades. The concordance correlation coefficients of the Tmax/DWI ratio and collateral ratio for the lesion growth ratio were 0.28 (95% CI, 0.17–0.38) and 0.88 (95% CI, 0.82–0.92), respectively. Conclusion Precise prediction of lesion growth and penumbra can be possible using collateral maps, allowing for personalized application of recanalization treatments. Further studies are needed to generalize the findings of this study. Clinical relevance statement Precise prediction of lesion growth and penumbra can be possible using collateral maps, allowing for personalized application of recanalization treatments. Key Points • Cell viability in cerebral ischemia due to proximal arterial steno-occlusion mainly depends on the collateral circulation. • The collateral map shows salvageable brain extent, which can survive by recanalization treatments after acute anterior circulation ischemic stroke. • Precise estimation of salvageable brain makes it possible to make patient-specific treatment decision.