Comprehensive Blood Indicator PSI: A Novel Prognostic Tool for Resectable Colorectal Cancer

medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)(2023)

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摘要
Background Colorectal cancer (CRC) remains a major global health concern, with significant morbidity and mortality rates. Identifying reliable prognostic indicators is essential for optimizing risk stratification and guiding clinical management. In this study, we aimed to develop a comprehensive blood indicator based on systemic inflammation and nutritional condition to predict the prognosis of resectable CRC patients. Methods A retrospective cohort of 210 CRC patients who underwent radical resection at the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, China, between January 2015 and December 2017, was included in the analysis. Baseline characteristics, preoperative blood markers, including neutrophil count, monocyte count, lymphocyte count, platelets, albumin, and CEA were retrospectively reviewed. Various blood indicators, such as NLR, PLR, MLR, SIRI and OPNI were calculated. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method (LASSO) was employed to select indicators to establish a novel comprehensive biomarker (named PSI). Kaplan-Meier survival curves and log-rank tests were used to evaluate the prognostic impact of preoperative OPNI, SIRI, and PSI. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression model were conducted to identify independent prognostic factors for CRC. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) method assessed the predictive ability of PSI, stage, OPNI, and SIRI. Results Patients with higher preoperative OPNI and lower SIRI values had significantly better overall survival (OS). PSI was identified as an independent prognostic factor for OS in both univariate and multivariate analysis. Patients with medium (28.3-43.4) and high (>43.4) PSI scores exhibited superior OS compared to those with low (≤ 28.3) PSI scores. PSI showed higher predictive ability (AUC: 0.734) than individual indicators alone (OPNI: 0.721, SIRI: 0.645, stage: 0.635). Conclusion The novel comprehensive indicator, PSI, based on preoperative SIRI and OPNI, demonstrated significant prognostic value for resectable CRC patients. PSI outperformed individual indicators and could serve as a reliable tool for risk stratification and prognostic management in CRC patients. ### Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest. ### Funding Statement None ### Author Declarations I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained. Yes The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below: This study was approved by the ethics committee of Chongqing Medical University(K2023-304) and followed the ethical standards of the Helsinki Declaration. I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals. Yes I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance). Yes I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable. Yes The datasets used in this study are available on request from the corresponding author. * CRC : colorectal cancer OS : overall survival DFS : disease free survival SIRI : systemic inflammation response index CEA : carcinoembryonic antigen OPNI : Onodera’s prognostic nutritional Index NLR : neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio PLR : platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio MLR : monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio BMI : body mass index HR : hazard ratio CI : confidence interval NI : not included. Ref : reference SII : systemic immune-inflammation index AUC : area under the curve ANC : absolute neutrophil count ALC : absolute lymphocyte count MC : monocyte count
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关键词
comprehensive blood indicator psi,resectable colorectal cancer,novel prognostic tool
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