Relationship between the lower limit of systolic blood pressure target and kidney function decline in advanced chronic kidney disease: an instrumental variable analysis from the REACH-J CKD cohort study

Intensive antihypertensive treatment decreases cardiovascular disease and mortality risks in chronic kidney disease (CKD), whereas extremely low systolic blood pressure (SBP) is associated with worsening kidney function and poor prognosis. Although the SBP variation is particularly large in patients with CKD, the optimal lower limit of SBP target is unclear. In a nationwide, multicenter cohort study of patients with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , we evaluated the association between the eGFR slopes and the lower limit of SBP target at ≥110 mmHg using a linear mixed-effects model and an instrumental variable method. The instrumental variable was calculated as the facility-level percentage of nephrologists who answered in the survey that their lower limit of SBP target was 110 mmHg or higher. A total of 1320 patients (mean age 70 years; 66% men) were included. The mean eGFR slope ± standard deviation over the four years to baseline was –2.48 ± 2.15 mL/min/1.73 m 2 /year. The instrumental variable for the lower limit of SBP target at ≥110 mmHg (vs. ≤100 mmHg) was associated with less eGFR decline (coefficient: +1.05 mL/min/1.73 m 2 /year; 95% confidence interval: 0.33–1.77), while unassociated with a history of cardiovascular disease. The renoprotective effect was particularly larger in the subgroups of the elderly and those with a history of cardiovascular disease. In conclusion, the lower limit of SBP target at 110 mmHg or higher was associated with improved eGFR slope, suggesting the importance of aiming at avoiding excessively low SBP in patients with advanced CKD.