Real-world analysis of first-line afatinib in patients with EGFR-mutant non-small cell lung cancer and brain metastasis: survival and prognostic factors

Background: Overall survival (OS) in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and brain metastases (BMs) is poor. We aimed to identify prognostic factors and ascertain treatment outcomes of firstline afatinib for patients with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-mutant NSCLC with BM in a realworld setting. Methods: This retrospective observational study reviewed electronic records of patients with EGFR-mutant NSCLC who received first-line afatinib treatment between October 2014 and October 2019 in 16 hospitals across South Korea. The Kaplan-Meier method estimated time on treatment (TOT) and OS; multivariate analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards (PH) models. Results: Among 703 patients who received first-line afatinib, 262 (37.3%) had baseline BM. Of 441 patients without baseline BM, 92 (20.9%) developed central nervous system (CNS) failure. Compared with patients without CNS failure, those with CNS failure during afatinib treatment were younger (P=0.012), had a higher Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS) (P<0.001), increased metastatic site involvement (P<0.001), advanced stage disease (P<0.001), with liver metastasis (P=0.008) and/ or bone metastasis (P<0.001) at baseline. Cumulative incidence of CNS failure in years 1, 2 and 3 was 10.1%, 21.5% and 30.0%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, cumulative incidence was significantly higher in patients with ECOG PS =2 (P<0.001), uncommon EGFR mutations (P=0.001), and no baseline pleural metastasis (P=0.017). Median TOT was 16.0 months (95% CI: 14.8-17.2) and, in patients with CNS failure, without CNS failure, and with baseline BM was 12.2, 18.9, and 14.1 months, respectively (P<0.001). Median OS was 52.9 months (95% CI: 45.4-60.3) and, in patients with CNS failure, without CNS failure, and with baseline BM was 29.1, 67.3 and 48.5 months, respectively (P<0.001). Conclusions: First-line afatinib in the real-world setting showed clinically meaningful effectiveness in patients with EGFR-mutant NSCLC and BM. CNS failure was a poor prognostic factor for TOT and OS correlating with younger age, poor ECOG PS, higher metastatic number, advanced disease stage, uncommon EGFR mutations, and baseline liver and/or bone metastases.