The use of mammography-based radiomics nomograms for the preoperative prediction of the histological grade of invasive ductal carcinoma

Background Accurate prediction of the grade of invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC) before treatment is vital for individualized therapy and improving patient outcomes. This study aimed to develop and validate a mammography-based radiomics nomogram that would incorporate the radiomics signature and clinical risk factors in the preoperative prediction of the histological grade of IDC. Methods The data of 534 patients from our hospital with pathologically confirmed IDC (374 in the training cohort and 160 in the validation cohort) were retrospectively analyzed. A total of 792 radiomics features were extracted from the patients’ craniocaudal and mediolateral oblique view images. A radiomics signature was generated using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method. Multivariate logistic regression was adopted to establish a radiomics nomogram, the utility of which was evaluated using a receiver-operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results The radiomics signature was found to have a significant correlation with histological grade ( P < 0.01), but the efficacy of the model is limited. The radiomics nomogram, which incorporated the radiomics signature and spicule sign into mammography, showed good consistency and discrimination in both the training cohort [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.75] and the validation cohort (AUC = 0.75). The calibration curves and DCA demonstrated the clinical usefulness of the proposed radiomics nomogram model. Conclusions A radiomics nomogram based on the radiomics signature and spicule sign can be used to predict the histological grade of IDC and assist in clinical decision-making for patients with IDC.