Comparative Effectiveness and Safety of 32 Pharmacological Interventions Recommended by Guidelines for COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis Combining 66 Trials

Abstract Background: To evaluate comparative efficacy and safety of pharmacological interventions in patients with coronavirus disease 2019. Methods: Medline, Embase, the Cochrane Library and clinicaltrials.gov were searched for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in patients infected with SARS-COV-2/SARS-COV. Random-effects network meta-analysis within Bayesian framework was performed, followed by Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) system assessing quality of evidence. The primary outcome of interest includes mortality, cure, viral negative conversion (VNC) and overall adverse events (OAE). Odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated as the measure of effect size.Results: 66 RCTs with 19,095 patients were included, involving standard care (SOC), 8 different antiviral agents, 6 different antibiotics, high and low dose chloroquine (CQ_HD, CQ_LD), traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), corticosteroids and other treatments. Compared with SOC, significant reduction of mortality was observed for TCM (OR=0.34, 95%CI: 0.20-0.56, moderate quality) and corticosteroids (OR=0.84, 0.75-0.96, low quality) with improved cure rate (OR=2.16, 1.60-2.91, low quality for TCM; OR=1.17, 1.05-1.30, low quality for corticosteroids). However, increased risk of mortality was found for CQ_HD versus SOC (OR=3.20, 1.18-8.73, low quality). TCM was associated with decreased risk of OAE (OR=0.52, 0.38-0.70, very low quality) but CQ_HD (OR=2.51, 1.20-5.24) and IFN (OR=2.69, 1.02-7.08) versus SOC with very low quality) were associated with an increased risk. Conclusions: Corticosteroids and TCM may reduce mortality and increase cure rate with no increased risk of OAEs compared with standard care. CQ_HD might increase the risk of mortality. CQ, IFN and other antiviral agents could increase the risk of OAEs. The current evidence is generally uncertain with low quality and further high-quality trials are needed.