The Incidence, Risk Factors, Predictors, and Prognoses of Cytomegalovirus Reactivation in Immunocompetent Mechanical Ventilation Patients: A Prospective Observational Study

Abstract Background: Cytomegalovirus (CMV) reactivation can seriously affect the clinical prognoses of critically ill patients. However, the epidemiology and predictors of CMV in immunocompetent patients with mechanical ventilation are not very clear. Methods: A single-center, prospective observational study (conducted from June 30, 2017 to July 01, 2018) with a follow-up of 90 days (September 29, 2018) that included 71 CMV-seropositive immunocompetent patients with mechanical ventilation at a 37-bed university hospital general intensive care unit (ICU) in China. Routine detection of CMV DNAemia was performed once a week until 28 days (Day1, 7, 14, 21, 28) and serology, laboratory findings, and clinical data were obtained at admission.Results: Among 71 patients, 13 (18.3%) showed CMV reactivation within ICU 28-day admission. The median time to reactivation was 7 days. CMV reactivation was related to various factors, including body weight, body mass index (BMI), sepsis, NT-proBNP, BUN, and Hb levels (P< 0.05). In the multivariate regression model, BMI, Hb level, and sepsis were associated with CMV reactivation patients (P< 0.05). Moreover, the area under the curve (AUC) of BMI, Hb and BMI combined Hb was 0.69, 0.70, 0.76, respectively. The rate of complications, duration of mechanical ventilation, hospitalization expense, length of ICU stay, and 90-day all-cause mortality rate in patients with CMV reactivation was significantly higher than in those without CMV reactivation (P< 0.05).Conclusions: Among immunocompetent patients with mechanical ventilation, the incidence of CMV reactivation was high. CMV reactivation can lead to various adverse prognoses. BMI, Hb, and sepsis were independent risk factors for CMV reactivation. BMI and Hb may predict CMV reactivation.