Role of Mixed Layer Depth in Kuroshio Extension Decadal Variability

Sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the Kuroshio Extension (KE) have been suggested to play a crucial role in decadal climate variability of the North Pacific affecting global climate and marine ecosystem variability. By analyzing the mixed layer heat budget, taking into account seasonality and mixed layer depth (MLD) variations, we here show for the first time that the KE SST front undergoes large decadal variations mainly owing to decadal modulations of the effective heat capacity affecting the SST sensitivity to surface heat fluxes during 1982-2015. More specifically, when the mixed layer becomes anomalously thick (shallow) to the south (north) of the front, it becomes less (more) sensitive to wintertime surface cooling. As a result, the SST front is strengthened, with positive (negative) SST anomalies to the south (north). A heat conservation model suggests that MLD anomalies are mainly due to thermocline depth anomalies.