Assessing climate risk using ensembles: A novel framework for applying and extending open-source climate risk assessment platforms

Climate Risk Management(2023)

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摘要
•We present a novel framework involving the application and extension of the an open-source climate risk assessment tool.•We use the CLIMADA risk assessment software and a Generalised Additive Modelling framework to allowing for a richer quantification of climate model uncertainty.•We apply the framework to an idealised example related to heat-stress and the associated risk of reduced outdoor physical working capacity in the UK.•We use 12 km high resolution ensembles from the UK Climate Projections.
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关键词
Climate risk,Risk assessment framework,Generalised additive modelling,Uncertainty quantification,Heat -stress,Physical working capacity
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