AMOC decline and recovery in a warmer climate.

Paulo Nobre,Sandro F Veiga,Emanuel Giarolla, André L Marquez, Manoel B da Silva,Vinícius B Capistrano, Marta Malagutti, Julio P R Fernandez, Helena C Soares,Marcus J Bottino, Paulo Y Kubota, Silvio N Figueroa, José P Bonatti,Gilvan Sampaio,Fernanda Casagrande, Mabel C Costa,Carlos A Nobre

Scientific reports(2023)

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摘要
This study presents novel insight into the mechanisms of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) reduction and its recovery under a warmer climate scenario. An one-thousand-year-long numerical simulation of a global coupled ocean-ice-atmosphere climate model, subjected to a stationary atmospheric radiative forcing, depict a coherent picture of the Arctic sea ice melting as a trigger for the initial AMOC reduction, along with decreases in the northward fluxes of salt and heat. Further atmospheric-driven ocean processes contribute to an erosion of the stable stratification of the fresher, yet colder waters in the surface layers of the North Atlantic, contributing to the recovery of a permanently altered AMOC.
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