Abstract P346: Adherence to the French Dietary Guidelines and Type 2 Diabetes Risk: The E3n-Epic Prospective Cohort Study

Background: Recently, a dietary index reflecting adherence to the 2017 French food-based dietary guidelines, the Programme National Nutrition Santé - guidelines score 2 (PNNS-GS2), has been developed, but evidence on its level of adherence and incident type 2 diabetes (T2D) risk is limited. Objective: We aimed to investigate the association between adherence to the simplified PNNS-GS2 (sPNNS-GS2) and the risk of incident T2D in a French cohort of women. Methods: Between 1993 and 2014, 71,450 women aged over 18 years were examined, and thereafter followed up for the occurrence of T2D within the E3N-EPIC prospective cohort. Dietary data were collected at baseline via a food frequency questionnaire, and the sPNNS-GS2 was derived for each participant. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of T2D for continuous and quintile groups of the sPNNS-GS2. Effect modification by body mass index (BMI) and mediation by BMI and waist-hip ratio (WHR) were explored. Results: The mean age was 52.9 years (SD 6.7). During a mean follow-up of 19 years, 3679 incident T2D cases were identified and validated. There was a linear association between adherence to sPNNS-GS2 and T2D risk (P non-linear = 0.85). In the fully adjusted model, each 1-SD increase in the sPNNS-GS2 was associated with a 8% decrease risk of T2D [HR (95% CI), 0.92 (0.89, 0.95)]. Compared to those with the lowest adherence (first quintile), the third [HR (95% CI), 0.91 (0.82, 1.00)] up to the fifth quintile group [HR (95% CI), 0.79 (0.71, 0.88)] had a lower T2D risk. There was a sPNNS-GS2 x BMI interaction on T2D risk (P interaction < 0.01) but not with WHR. The overall association was partly mediated by BMI (18%) and WHR (59%). Conclusion: Higher adherence to the 2017 French food-based dietary guidelines was associated with a lower risk of T2D in women. Furthermore, our mediation analysis suggests that the lower risk of T2D in women associated with adherence to the sPNNS-GS2 is partly mediated by obesity measured by BMI or WHR.