Prevalence of Nonsuppressed Viral Load and Associated Factors Among Adults Receiving Antiretroviral Therapy in Eswatini, Lesotho, Malawi, Zambia, and Zimbabwe (2015-2017): Results from Population-Based Nationally-Representative Surveys

Introduction The Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) has set a target of ≥90% of people living with HIV (PLHIV) receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) to have viral load suppression (VLS). We examined factors associated with nonsuppressed viral Load (NVL). Methods We included PLHIV receiving ART aged 15–59 years from Eswatini, Lesotho, Malawi, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. Blood samples from PLHIV were analyzed for HIV RNA and recent exposure to antiretroviral drugs (ARVs). Outcomes were NVL (viral load ≥1000 copies/mL), virologic failure (VF; ARVs present and viral load ≥1000 copies/mL), interrupted ART (ARVs absent and viral load ≥1000 copies/mL), and receiving second-line ART. We calculated odds ratios and incidence rate ratios for factors associated with NVL, VF, interrupted ART, and switching to second-line ART. Results The prevalence of NVL was 11.2%: 8.2% experienced VF, and 3.0% interrupted ART. Younger age, male gender, less education, suboptimal adherence, receiving nevirapine, HIV non-disclosure, never having married, and residing in Zimbabwe, Lesotho, or Zambia were associated with higher odds of NVL. Among people with NVL, marriage, female gender, shorter ART duration, higher CD4 count, and alcohol use were associated with higher odds for interrupted ART and lower odds for VF. Many people with VF (44.8%) had CD4 counts <200 cells/µL, but few (0.31% per year) switched to second-line ART. Conclusions Countries are approaching UNAIDS VLS targets for adults. Treatment support for people initiating ART with asymptomatic HIV infection, scale-up of viral load monitoring, and optimized ART regimens may further reduce NVL prevalence. ### Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest. ### Funding Statement Funding: This research has been supported by the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) through the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) under the terms of grant number U2GGH001226. ADH was supported by a Swiss National Science Foundation (SNF) Early Postdoc Mobility Fellowship (grant number: P2BEP3_178602). Disclaimer: The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position of the funding agencies. ### Author Declarations I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained. Yes The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below: The Eswatini Scientific and Ethics Committee, the National Health Science Research Committee Malawi, the National Health Research Ethics Committee Lesotho, the National Health Research Ethics Committee Lesotho, the Tropical Diseases Research Centre Ethics Review Committee, Zambia, the Medical Research Council of Zimbabwe, and the Institutional Review Boards at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC; Atlanta, GA) and Columbia University Medical Center (New York, NY) approved the PHIA surveys. All necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived. Yes I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance). Yes I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable. Yes Public datasets for Eswatini, Malawi, and Zambia are available. Public datasets for Lesotho and Zimbabwe will be made available soon. For more information see: https://phia-data.icap.columbia.edu/