Post-discharge mortality among children under 5 years admitted with suspected sepsis in Uganda: a prospective multi-site study

Background Substantial mortality occurs after hospital discharge in children under 5 years old with suspected sepsis. A better understanding of its epidemiology is needed for effective interventions aimed at reducing child mortality in resource limited settings. Methods In this prospective observational cohort study, we recruited 0-60-month-old children admitted with suspected sepsis from the community to the paediatric wards of six Ugandan hospitals. The primary outcome was six-month post-discharge mortality among those discharged alive. We evaluated the interactive impact of age, time of death, and location of death on risk factors for mortality. Findings 6,545 children were enrolled, with 6,191 discharged alive. The median (interquartile range) time from discharge to death was 32 (10–92) days, with a six-month post-discharge mortality rate of 5·5%, constituting 51% of total mortality. Deaths occurred at home (45%), intransit to care (18%), or in hospital (37%) during a subsequent readmission. Post-discharge death was strongly associated with weight-for-age z-scores < -3 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 5·04; 95%CI: 3·97–6·37), referral for further care (aHR 9·08; 95%CI 6·68–12·34), and unplanned discharge (aHR 3·36; 95%CI 2·64–4·28). The hazard ratio of those with severe anaemia increased with time since discharge, while the hazard ratios of discharge vulnerabilities (unplanned, poor feeding) decreased with time. Children with severe anaemia (<7 g/dL) died 35 days (95%CI 19·4–51·9) later than those without anaemia. Age influenced the effect of several variables, including anthropometric indices (less impact with increasing age), anaemia (greater impact), and admission temperature (greater impact). Interpretation Paediatric post-discharge mortality following suspected sepsis is common, with diminishing, though persistent, risk over the 6 months after discharge. Efforts to improve post-discharge outcomes are critical to achieving Sustainable Development Goal 3.2 (ending preventable childhood deaths under 5 years of age). Funding Grand Challenges Canada (#TTS-1809-1939), Thrasher Research Fund (#13878), BC Children’s Hospital Foundation, and Mining4Life. ### Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest. ### Funding Statement Grand Challenges Canada (#TTS-1809-1939), Thrasher Research Fund (#13878), BC Childrens Hospital Foundation, and Mining4Life. ### Author Declarations I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained. Yes The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below: This study was approved by the Mbarara University of Science and Technology Research Ethics Committee (No. 15/10-16), the Uganda National Institute of Science and Technology (HS 2207), and the University of British Columbia / Children & Womens Health Centre of British Columbia Research Ethics Board (H16-02679). Written informed consent was obtained from a parent or guardian prior to the enrolment of eligible study subjects. I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals. Yes I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance). Yes I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable. Yes All data produced in the present study are available upon reasonable request to the authors