Wisdom of the Crowd: insights gained from comparing predicted and observed effects of blood pressure lowering strategies

In a first of its kind assessment in cardiovascular research, we assessed whether pooled cardiovascular expertise could accurately predict efficacy and tolerability for both a novel and an established treatment option. A survey was administered prior to the publication of the QUARTET (A Quadruple UltrA-low-dose tReatment for hypErTension) trial. QUARTET was a multicentre, double-blind, parallel-group, trial that randomised participants to initial treatment with either monotherapy or an ultra-low dose quadruple single pill combination for 12 weeks. Survey participants were asked to predict blood pressure (BP) at 12 weeks and 52 weeks for both groups.