Probabilistic solar nowcasting based on all-sky imagers

Bijan Nouri,Stefan Wilbert,Niklas Blum,Yann Fabel,Elke Lorenz,Annette Hammer,Thomas Schmidt,Luis F. Zarzalejo,Robert Pitz-Paal

Solar Energy（2023）

引用 1|浏览11

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摘要

•None-parametric probabilistic quantile nowcasting method.•All sky imager based probabilistic solar irradiance nowcasts.•Benchmark against three distinct probabilistic baseline models.•Validation over sub data sets with distinct irradiance variability conditions.•Nowcasts assessment of reliability, resolution and sharpness.

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关键词

Probabilistic nowcasts,Solar irradiance,All sky imager,Quantile forecast

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