Replacing secretin-enhanced MRCP with MRI radiomics model based on a fully automated pancreas segmentation for assessing pancreatic exocrine function in chronic pancreatitis

Objectives To develop and validate a radiomics nomogram based on a fully automated pancreas segmentation to assess pancreatic exocrine function. Furthermore, we aimed to compare the performance of the radiomics nomogram with the pancreatic flow output rate (PFR) and conclude on the replacement of secretin-enhanced magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (S-MRCP) by the radiomics nomogram for pancreatic exocrine function assessment. Methods All participants underwent S-MRCP between April 2011 and December 2014 in this retrospective study. PFR was quantified using S-MRCP. Participants were divided into normal and pancreatic exocrine insufficiency (PEI) groups using the cut-off of 200 µg/L of fecal elastase-1. Two prediction models were developed including the clinical and non-enhanced T1-weighted imaging radiomics model. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to develop the prediction models. The models’ performances were determined based on their discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. Results A total of 159 participants (mean age ± standard deviation, 45 years ± 14;119 men) included 85 normal and 74 PEI. All the participants were divided into a training set comprising 119 consecutive patients and an independent validation set comprising 40 consecutive patients. The radiomics score was an independent risk factor for PEI (odds ratio = 11.69; p < 0.001). In the validation set, the radiomics nomogram exhibited the highest performance (AUC, 0.92) in PEI prediction, whereas the clinical nomogram and PFR had AUCs of 0.79 and 0.78, respectively. Conclusion The radiomics nomogram accurately predicted pancreatic exocrine function and outperformed pancreatic flow output rate on S-MRCP in patients with chronic pancreatitis. Key Points • The clinical nomogram exhibited moderate performance in diagnosing pancreatic exocrine insufficiency. • The radiomics score was an independent risk factor for pancreatic exocrine insufficiency, and every point rise in the rad-score was associated with an 11.69-fold increase in pancreatic exocrine insufficiency risk. • The radiomics nomogram accurately predicted pancreatic exocrine function and outperformed the clinical model and pancreatic flow output rate quantified by secretin-enhanced magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography on MRI in patients with chronic pancreatitis.