Can seamounts in the Gulf of Alaska be a spawning ground for sablefish settling in coastal nursery grounds?

In addition to their prevalence on the continental shelf, adult sablefish have been found over the chain of sea -mounts far offshore in the Gulf of Alaska (GOA). Many of the females that were observed had recently spawned or were ready to spawn. However, to date, it is not known what role the seamounts play in sablefish life history and there are no observations of sablefish eggs or larvae over the GOA seamounts. Due to their depth and remoteness, there are no suitable shallow nursery areas in the vicinity of the seamounts. For successful recruitment, individuals hatching from eggs spawned over seamounts would need to be transported hundreds of miles to suitable areas inshore. Using an individual-based model (IBM) of sablefish, we have demonstrated that if spawning occurs over any of the seamounts in the GOA seamount province it is likely that at least some in-dividuals will be successfully transported to shallow inshore nursery areas in the coastal GOA. As our simulated individuals only exhibit vertical movement behavior this on-shore transport results from the prevailing currents to which they were subjected and not from any geographic or environmental homing capabilities. Our analysis indicates that the strength of the on-shelf velocity is not the primary factor in determining the likelihood of transport to nursery areas. We speculate that the size, strength, location, and direction of the eddies that populate the GOA in any given year could be important in determining transport success. This idea is reinforced by our path analysis which shows that there are markedly different pathways taken by successful individuals among years. Our findings suggest that it may be necessary to expand what is considered suitable habitat for young sablefish. With seamounts being a potentially important spawning site for sablefish, future research priorities should include ground-truthing with fishery or fishery-independent data collected from seamounts. Potential applications of this expanded sablefish IBM include testing for connectivity between seamount and slope spawning areas and the Aleutian Islands and Bering Sea and contributing to the development of spatially explicit assessment models of sablefish.