A framework coupled neural networks and SPH depth integrated model for landslide propagation warning

Landslides cause severe economic damage and a large number of casualties every year around the world. In many cases, it is not possible to avoid them, and the task of engineers and geologists is to mitigate their effects using measures such as building diverting structures or preparing escape roads to be used when an alarm is triggered. It is necessary, therefore, to predict the path of the landslide, its depth and velocity, and the runout. These objectives are usually are attained by using mathematical, numerical and rheological models. An important limitation of the analysis is the lack of data, specially when few laboratory tests are available, and in cases where their present important variations. This leads to performing sensitivity analyses in which analysts study the influence of several magnitudes of interest, such as friction angle, porosity, basal pore pressure and geometry of the sliding mass, just to mention a few, leading in turn to perform a large number of simulations. We propose in this paper a methodology to speed up the process, which is based on: (i) using depth integrated models, which provide a good combination of accuracy and computer effort and (ii) using artificial intelligence tools to reduce the number of simulations. Let us consider a case where we have N_ mag main variables to explore; for each of them we select a number of cases, which can differ from one magnitude to another. The number of cases will be where N_ cases(i) is the number of cases we have selected for magnitude i . We can consider these variables as nodes belonging to a hypercube of dimension N_ mag . We will refer from now on as “hypercube” to the set of all cases generated in this way. The paper presents two cases where these techniques will be applied: (i) a 1D dam break problem and (ii) a case of a real debris flow which happened in Hong Kong, for which there is available information.