Elexacaftor/tezacaftor/ivacaftor projected survival and long-term health outcomes in people with cystic fibrosis homozygous for F508del

Background: A series of phase 3 clinical trials have demonstrated that elexacaftor plus tezacaftor plus ivacaftor (ELX/TEZ/IVA) is safe and efficacious in people with cystic fibrosis (pwCF) aged >12 years with >1 F508del mutation in the cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) gene. The impact of this treatment on lifetime clinical outcomes and survival, however, has yet to be assessed. Methods: We used a person-level microsimulation model to estimate the survival and lifetime clinical benefits of ELX/TEZ/IVA treatment versus other CFTR modulator combinations (tezacaftor plus ivacaftor [TEZ/IVA] or lumacaftor plus ivacaftor [LUM/IVA]) or best supportive care (BSC) alone in pwCF aged >12 years who are homozygous for F508del-CFTR. Disease progression inputs were derived from published literature; clinical efficacy inputs were derived from an indirect treatment comparison conducted using relevant phase 3 clinical trial data and extrapolations of clinical data. Results: The median projected survival for pwCF homozygous for F508del-CFTR treated with ELX/TEZ/IVA was 71.6 years. This was an increase of 23.2 years versus TEZ/IVA, 26.2 years versus LUM/IVA, and 33.5 years versus BSC alone. Treatment with ELX/TEZ/IVA also reduced disease severity as well as the number of pulmonary exacerbations and lung transplants. In a scenario analysis, the median projected survival for pwCF initiating ELX/TEZ/IVA between the ages of 12 and 17 years was 82.5 years, an increase of 45.4 years compared with BSC alone. Conclusions: The results from our model suggest ELX/TEZ/IVA treatment may substantially increase sur-vival for pwCF, with early initiation potentially allowing pwCF to achieve near-normal life expectancy. (c) 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of European Cystic Fibrosis Society. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ )