Modeling the transition toward a zero emission car fleet: Integrating electrification, shared mobility, and automation

Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment(2023)

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摘要
•Transition modeling considers the phase-in and -out of technologies and time delays.•Electrification speed is the most important factor toward a carbon-neutral car fleet.•Swiss climate goals can be met by phasing out new ICEVs by 2025 and hybrids by 2030.•Electric autonomous cars with ride-sharing will yield the largest emissions reduction.•Autonomous cars without shared mobility will lead to the highest emissions levels.
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关键词
Climate change mitigation strategies,Transition modeling,Scenario analysis,Autonomous cars,Shared mobility,Fleet electrification
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