Quantifying the impact of COVID-19 on essential health services: a comparison of interrupted time series analysis using Prophet and Poisson regression models.

William Ogallo, Irene Wanyana,Girmaw Abebe Tadesse,Catherine Wanjiru,Victor Akinwande,Steven Kabwama,Sekou Lionel Remy,Charles Wachira,Sharon Okwako,Susan Kizito,Rhoda Wanyenze,Suzanne Kiwanuka,Aisha Walcott-Bryant

Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA（2023）

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摘要

The Prophet and Poisson models are useful in quantifying the impact of interruptions on essential health services during pandemics but may result in different measures of effect. Rigor and multimethod triangulation are necessary to study the true effect of pandemics on essential health services.

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关键词

COVID-19,Poisson regression,Prophet regression,essential health services,interrupted time series analysis

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