Assessing the short-term effects of ozone exposure on the indicator of pharmacy visits in Nanjing based on mobile phone big data

Journal of Cleaner Production(2022)

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摘要
Ozone pollution significantly impacts human health. However, less is known about the effects of ozone on pharmacy consumption affecting a wider population, especially in heavily polluted developing countries. Moreover, no studies reveal the community-level heterogeneity of these effects. Taking advantage of multi -sources big data, this study aimed to refine the short-term effects of ozone exposure on the indicator of phar-macy visits to community levels in Nanjing, China. Firstly, we established a random forest model to predict the high-resolution ozone exposure and extracted the indicator of pharmacy visits from mobile phone call detail records and Point of Interest data. Then, we applied a generalized additive model to estimate the percent increase of pharmacy visits per 10 mu g/m3 increase in ozone exposure. The results showed that in the best lag model, the pharmacy visits in Nanjing increased by 0.822% (95% CI: 0.818%-0.826%) for each 10 mu g/m3 increase in ozone. The exposure-response curve for maximum 8-h average ozone and pharmacy visits was nonlinear, with a rapid increase below 150 mu g/m3 and then slightly decreased. The rural 1.210% (95% CI: 1.19%-1.23%) has a higher estimate than the urban 0.819% (95% CI: 0.813%-0.825%). The low temperature intensifies the ozone's effect on increasing pharmacy visits, while the high temperature does the opposite. On the one hand, our study pro-posed an innovative and promising method to apply multi-sources big data to overcome the health data lacking issues in environmental health studies. On the other hand, it also sheds light on previously unidentified het-erogeneous effects of ozone on mild health outcomes, especially in heavily polluted developing countries.
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关键词
Ozone,Pharmacy visits,Mobile phone data,Time series,Random forest
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