Causal analyses with target trial emulation for real-world evidence removed large self-inflicted biases: systematic bias assessment of ovarian cancer treatment effectiveness

Journal of Clinical Epidemiology(2022)

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摘要
•To assess potential biases in real-world evidence (RWE), this paper compares the hazards ratio (HRs) of the reference trial to the estimated HRs following different analytic approaches.•Biases resulting from the different analytic approaches varied in size and direction, ranging from 75% underestimating the HR to 36% overestimating the HR.•The full causal analysis (including the target trial emulation using a marginal-structural-Cox-model) yielded the smallest bias, overestimating the HR by 10%.•In RWE, a thorough causal-inference-based design and analysis is important.
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关键词
Causal inference,Comparative effectiveness,Longitudinal data,Electronic health records,Target trial,Inverse probability weighting
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