Effects of global climate change on the hydrological cycle and crop growth under heavily irrigated management – A comparison between CMIP5 and CMIP6

Xinlin Li,Lili Tan,Yingxuan Li,Junyu Qi,Puyu Feng,Baoguo Li,De Li Liu,Xueliang Zhang, Gray W. Marek,Yingqi Zhang,Haipeng Liu,Raghavan Srinivasan,Yong Chen

Computers and Electronics in Agriculture（2022）

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摘要

•Multiple homologous GCMs of CMIP5 and CMIP6 were compared using Taylor diagram.•Projected climate by CMIP5 and 6 was different but hydrological change was similar.•CMIP6 outperformed CMIP5 in simulating climate and hydrologic variables in general.•Elevated CO2, rainfall, & temperatures caused runoff increase & irrigation decrease.•Early emergence of crops and total biomass increase resulted in the boost of yields.

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关键词

Hydrological modeling,SWAT-MAD,Future climate change,Double-cropping system,Irrigated farming

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