Pancreatic fibrosis by extracellular volume fraction using Contrast-enhanced computed tomography and relationship with pancreatic cancer

Purpose This study aimed to assess the relationship between pancreatic fibrosis measured by the extracellular volume fraction (ECV) using contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) and the histologic pancreatic fibrosis fraction and investigate the relationship between pancreatic fibrosis and pancreatic cancer. Method The study included 88 consecutive patients (48 males, 40 females; median age, 69 years; range, 17–89 years); 47 had pancreatic cancer, and 41 had other diseases. Fifty-two cases were evaluated pathologically for pancreatic fibrosis. The histologic pancreatic fibrosis fraction was quantified using image analysis software in nontumorous pancreatic tissue at the resection stump using 2-µm-thick Azan-stained slides. Two board-certified radiologists measured ECV in the pancreatic parenchyma at an estimated transection line. The correlation between histologic pancreatic fibrosis fraction and ECV was investigated, and whether the ECV value could be used as a biomarker for pancreatic cancer was investigated. Results The histologic pancreatic fibrosis fraction was significantly correlated with the ECV (r = 0.64, P < 0.01). Pancreatic fibrosis evaluated by ECV was higher in pancreatic cancer patients than in other patients (P < 0.01). On receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis, the ECV had good diagnostic accuracy for the development of pancreatic cancer (cut-off value 32.8%; sensitivity 61.0%, specificity 85.1%). ECV was identified on multivariate analysis as an independent risk factor for pancreatic cancer (odds ratio 1.16; P < 0.01). Conclusions Extracellular volume fraction was strongly related to the histologic pancreatic fibrosis fraction, which was independently associated with pancreatic cancer. Thus, extracellular volume fraction is an imaging biomarker that reflects the progression of pancreatic fibrosis and may potentially help predict the development of pancreatic cancer, although further investigation will be needed.