Spatial mode-based calibration (SMoC) of forecast precipitation fields from numerical weather prediction models

Journal of Hydrology(2022)

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摘要
•A spatial mode-based calibration model is developed to post-process short-term forecasts of precipitation fields.•The calibration model directly embeds spatial structure into calibrated ensemble forecasts.•Calibrated ensemble forecasts are shown to be of high quality at both grid-cell and basin scales.
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关键词
Forecast precipitation fields,Numerical weather prediction,Statistical calibration,Spatial structure,Empirical orthogonal function,Spatial modes
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