Predictors of rapid progression of estimated glomerular filtration rate among persons living with diabetes and/or hypertension in Ghana: Findings from a multicentre study

In Ghana, the prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) is 28.5% in diabetic hypertensive patients, 26.3% in hypertensives, and 16.1% in those with diabetes only. Trajectories of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) among patients with hypertension and diabetes are important for monitoring and instituting prompt interventions to prevent the development of CKD, especially in the face of limited access to renal replacement therapy. In this prospective multi-center study conducted at five hospitals in Ghana, we assessed predictors of rapid eGFR progression among adults with hypertension and/or diabetes. Serum creatinine at baseline and 18 months were taken and eGFR determined using the CKD-EPI formula. eGFR trajectory was defined as fast when the decline of GFR was >= 5 ml/min/1.73 m(2) per year. A multivariable logistic regression model was fitted to identify predictors of the fast progression of eGFR. Total 13% of 1261 participants met the criteria for rapid decline in eGFR. The adjusted odds ratio, aOR (95%CI), of four factors adversely associated with fast progression of eGFR were: increasing age 1.20 (1.03-1.14), partial health insurance coverage for medications 1.48 (1.05-2.08), history of smoking 1.91 (1.11-3.27), angiotensin-receptor blockade use 1.55 (1.06-2.25) while metformin use was protective .56 (.35-.90). Proportion with eGFR <60 ml/min increased from 14% at baseline to 19% at month 18. Effective health insurance policies to improve medication access and avoidance of smoking are interventions that may mitigate the rising burden of CKD in individuals with diabetes mellitus and/or hypertension.