Structural Effects of Agent Heterogeneity in Agent-Based Models: Lessons from the Social Spread of COVID-19

JASSS-THE JOURNAL OF ARTIFICIAL SOCIETIES AND SOCIAL SIMULATION(2022)

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摘要
Modeling human behavior in the context of social systems in which we are embedded realistically requires capturing the underlying heterogeneity in human populations. However, trade-offs associated with different approaches to introducing heterogeneity could either enhance or obfuscate our understanding of outcomes and the processes by which they are generated. Thus, the question arises: how to incorporate heterogeneity when modeling human behavior as part of population-scale phenomena such that greater understanding is obtained? We use an agent-based model to compare techniques of introducing heterogeneity at initialization or generated during the model's runtime. We show that initializations with unstructured heterogeneity can interfere with a structural understanding of emergent processes, especially when structural heterogeneity might be a key part of driving how behavioral responses dynamically shape emergence in the system. We find that incorporating empirical population heterogeneity-even in a limited sense-can substantially contribute to improved understanding of how the system understudy works.
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关键词
Agent-Based Model, Diffusion Model, Empirical Data-Driven Model, Heterogeneous Population, Model Performance, Complex Systems
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