Enhancing Short-Term Prediction of BDS-3 Satellite Clock Bias Based with BSO Optimized BP Neural Network

The satellite clock bias (SCB) prediction plays an important role in high-accuracy and real-time navigation and positioning. When predicting the SCB, the performance of the BP neural network is affected by the local optimum due to inaccurate initial parameters. Therefore, we propose an improved BP neural network based on the beetle swarm optimization (BSO-BP) algorithm to improve the performance of SCB prediction in third-generation Beidou satellite navigation system (BDS-3). The proposed model takes advantage of group learning strategy to optimize the initialization parameters of the BP neural network and obtains globally optimized parameters. In order to verify the proposed BSO-BP model, 15 BDS satellites are analyzed in terms of prediction accuracy and stability of SCB. The experimental results show that when predicting 1 hour SCB based on a 12 hours SCB data, the prediction accuracy of the BSO-BP model is the best, with an average accuracy of 0.064 ns. As compared with the LP, QP, and GM models, the average prediction accuracy of the proposed BSO-BP model increases by about 72.6%, 43.4%, and 86%, respectively. As the prediction time increases, the influence of the inaccurate initial parameters on SCB prediction gradually decreases, and the prediction accuracy improves. The proposed BSO-BP model has the best accuracy and stability when predicting the 1 h SCB based on the same data. The prediction stability of the proposed BSO-BP model improves by more than 36% as compared with LP, QP, and GM models. In addition, the prediction accuracies of PHM clock and Rb-II clock improved by more than 47%, as compared with that of the Rb clock. Therefore, the overall performance of the atomic clock based on BDS-3 is better than BDS-2. The positioning accuracy of the BSO-BP model can reach the centimeter level in east, north, and up directions.