The alpha-RECIST (RECIST 1.1 Combined With Alpha Fetoprotein): A Novel Tool for Identifying Tumor Response of Conversion-Radiotherapy for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Before Hepatectomy

PurposeTo develop a novel criterion based on the response evaluation criteria in solid tumors (RECIST) 1.1 and alpha fetoprotein (AFP) and evaluate its performance in tumor response for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC) receiving conversion-radiotherapy before hepatectomy. MethodFrom June 2012 to December 2020, a total of 39 patients with uHCC, who received intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) before hepatectomy, were retrospectively included in this study. Pre- and post-treatment contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (CE-MRI) scans were performed in all patients. Eight modified criteria were developed with the combination of RECIST 1.1, modified RECIST (mRECIST), and the percentage change of AFP, baseline AFP. The endpoint events were recurrence-free survival (RFS). ResultsThe median RFS and OS was 26.5 (IQR, 15.7-43.1), 38.8 (IQR, 18.4-53.6) months. An optimal revised evaluation criterion named alpha-RECIST (alpha fetoprotein-RECIST 1.1) was developed by combining the RECIST 1.1 with the AFP(Delta) (cut-off value, 76%). Patients defined as responders by alpha-RECIST showed significantly better RFS and OS than those defined as non-responders (p = 0.035, 0.048). The other criteria (RECIST 1.1, mRECIST, alpha(Delta)-mRECIST, alpha(&Delta)-RECIST, alpha(&Delta)-mRECIST, alpha(BL)-RECIST, alpha(BL)-mRECIST, alpha(&BL)-RECIST, alpha(&BL)-mRECIST) all failed to identify responders from non-responders (p = 0.405, 0.201, 0.773, 0.424, 0.266, 0.060, 0.721, 0.644, 0.910, respectively) when correlated with RFS. Responders according to alpha-RECIST showed significant better RFS compared to non-responders [HR, 0.31 (95% CI: 0.10, 0.98); p=0.046], but no statistical significance was observed in terms of OS [HR, 0.33 (95% CI: 0.11, 1.05); p = 0.06]. ConclusionsPatients identified as responders by alpha-RECIST provided significant better RFS. The alpha-RECIST criteria might be a promising tool for identifying tumor response of conversion-radiotherapy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma before hepatectomy.