Cardiovascular outcomes in obstructive sleep apnoea and implications of clinical phenotyping on effect of CPAP treatment

Background There is a growing awareness of the heterogeneity of obstructive sleep apnoea (OSA). Clinical trials of CPAP treatment on cardiovascular protection have been mostly negative. We aimed to assess the association between polysomnographic parameters and incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), and to investigate if the CPAP effect could be better delineated among clinical subgroups. Methods This sleep cohort study was conducted using a clinical database and territory-wide electronic health administration data in Hong Kong. Cox regressions were used to calculate HRs. Latent class analysis was used to cluster patients with OSA according to clinical and polysomnographic features. Results Of 1860 eligible Chinese subjects who underwent polysomnography (2006-2013), 1544 (83%) had OSA. Over median follow-up of 8.3 years, 278 (14.9%) experienced MACEs. Apnoea-hypopnoea index (AHI) did not predict MACEs (HR: 0.95; 95% CI 0.76 to 1.17), whereas sleep time with oxygen saturation <90% (TST90) (HR: 1.41; 95% CI 1.10 to 1.81) was an independent predictor of MACEs, as were wake and nocturnal heart rate. In moderate-severe OSA (n=1108) who were indicated for CPAP treatment, regular CPAP was not associated with reduction of incident MACEs. Further cluster analysis identified a subgroup (n=333) who was younger, more obese, had more severe OSA (higher AHI and TST90) and more cardiovascular risks, in whom regular CPAP was associated with a lower risk of MACEs (HR:0.49, 95% CI 0.25 to 0.95). Conclusions OSA-related TST90 and mean heart rate, but not AHI, were robust predictors of MACEs. A clinical phenotype subgroup who demonstrated beneficial effect of CPAP treatment was identified.