The effects of crime on tourism: A multiple regression analysis

Safety has become one of the most decisive factors when planning and organizing a trip in the 21st century. Accordingly, different tourism industry and government organizations have established policies and mechanisms to inform and warn their citizens about the dangers or risks of traveling to other places around the world. Homicide is the most important factor for issuing these official notices. This article evaluates the effect of the number of homicides recorded from 2006-2016 on the influx of domestic and foreign (American and Canadian) visitors to a destination on the Mexican Pacific coast, using econometric techniques such as multiple linear regression. Some of the results establish a relationship between homicides and the level of tourism. Similarly, the statistical evidence shows that the number of homicides has a moderate influence on travel by foreign visitors to this destination but not on their actual stay there.