The Effect of COVID-19 on Cardiac Surgical Volume and its Associated Costs.

The COVID-19 pandemic significantly affected health care and in particular surgical volume. However, no data surrounding lost hospital revenue due to decreased cardiac surgical volume have been reported. The National Inpatient Sample database was used with decreases in cardiac surgery at a single center to generate a national estimate of decreased cardiac operative volume. Hospital charges and provided charge to cost ratios were used to create estimates of lost hospital revenue, adjusted for 2020 dollars. The COVID period was defined as January to May of 2020. A Gompertz function was used to model cardiac volume growth to pre-COVID levels. Single center cardiac case demographics were internally compared during January to May for 2019 and 2020 to create an estimate of volume reduction due to COVID. The maximum decrease in cardiac surgical volume was 28.3%. Cumulative case volume and hospital revenue loss during the COVID months as well as the recovery period totaled over 35 thousand cases and 2.5 billion dollars. Institutionally, patients during COVID months were younger, more frequently undergoing a CABG procedure, and had a longer length of stay. The pandemic caused a significant decrease in cardiac surgical volume and a subsequent decrease in hospital revenue. This data can be used to address the accumulated surgical backlog and programmatic changes for future occurrences.