Cross-correlations between mm-wave line-intensity mapping and weak-lensing surveys: preliminary consideration of long-term prospects

The field of millimetre-wave line-intensity mapping (LIM) is seeing increased experimental activity with pathfinder surveys already deployed or deploying in the next few years, making spectroscopic measurements of unresolved atomic and molecular line emission tracing the large-scale structure of the Universe. The next decade will also see the Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) undertake a photometric galaxy survey programme of unprecedented scope, including measurements of cosmic shear exploiting weak gravitational lensing (WL) of background galaxies to map projected large-scale structure. We consider prospects for detecting angular cross-power spectra between non-tomographic cosmic shear and mm-wave LIM surveys that measure emission from CO lines at z = 0.5-1. We forecast that once the LSST Year 10 WL data set is available, a future LIM experiment, conceivably deployed in the next 10-15 yr, would enable such a cross-correlation detection with an overall signal-to-noise ratio of 50, although the current pathfinder generation of CO/[C ii] surveys are more likely to achieve a marginal 2 sigma detection against an earlier-stage LSST WL data set. The signal has modest astrophysical constraining power yielding competitive constraints on cosmic molecular gas density at z less than or similar to 1, and degeneracies between astrophysical parameters and the intrinsic alignment amplitude mean that external information on either one could allow the cross-correlation analysis to significantly improve its constraints on the other.