Projection of Life Expectancy at Birth of Malaysian Population: A Modelling Approach

Journal of the Indian Academy of Geriatrics(2017)

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摘要
The purpose of this study is to project life expectancies (LEs) by sexes and ethnic groups for Malaysia. The secondary data of LE by sex and ethnic groups for Malaysia were extracted from the Department of Statistics, Government of Malaysia. The exponential growth model was employed to fulfill the objective. Projections of LEs for male and female of Malaysia by ethnicity were estimated by using exponential growth model for the years 2014-2050. The study investigated that the LEs for male and female of Malaysia by ethnicity are showing increasing trend. Results revealed that LEs for the female is greater than that of the male for each ethnic group. The projected LEs for male and female of Malaysia in 2050 would be 79.13 and 84.05 years, respectively. The population of Malaysia will tend to live long. The Government should have clear information about the number of elderly population ensuring their healthy environment.
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life expectancy,ethnic groups in malaysia,exponential growth model,malaysia
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